Scott Galloway: "There Is A 33% Chance That Trump Dies In Office!"

TL;DR

Scott Galloway argues the 2024 election will be decided by which campaign offers a more aspirational vision of masculinity, with Trump successfully appealing to young men who feel abandoned by the Democratic Party’s identity politics.

Key insights

• The Democratic Party’s website lists 16 demographic groups under “Who We Serve” but omits young men, the group that has fallen furthest fastest (three‑fourths of homeless are men; triple suicide rate;
• Trump’s political success comes from “zagging” – being offensive, raw, and authentic in a sea of polished, PG‑13 politicians – tapping into grievance and anger.
• The economy under Biden is objectively strong (12.5% growth since 2019, double any G7 nation; lowest unemployment since 1968), but prosperity is concentrated in the top 1%, creating a “vibecession” wh